Weather Outlook for the JP Morgan Asset Management Round The Island Race 2nd July 2016

Low pressure is the dominant feature of the weather during this week.

There is low pressure centred close to Iceland that is expected to stay with us over the next few days, giving a mainly W-SW air flow. During Tuesday a secondary low will develop within the flow south of Ireland and will move eastwards across England bringing rain on Tuesday and Wednesday. The main low will persist through to the weekend although there should be some sunny spells on Friday and Saturday, however there is still the chance of isolated showers.

On Saturday the wind is expected to be a moderate W-SW’ly tending to back and strengthen through the day to be SW 18-23 knots along the south coast of the IOW. There will be sunny spells with the chance of showers. The maximum temperature will be around 16C and visibility will be good reducing to moderate or poor in showers.

Estimated wind strength (knots) and direction; gusts are likely to be 1/3rd as much again as the average wind strength and stronger with showers.

Monday 27th
WNW –WSW 10-15 with sunny spells and a maximum temperature of about 20C.

Tuesday 28th
The wind will drop overnight and back to the south ahead of the developing secondary low. During the day the wind will increase to be S-SW 15-20 with some rain likely late in the day. The maximum temperature will be 16C.

Wednesday 29th
As the low passes to the north the wind will veer W-NW 20-25 (30 in the Channel). There will be some rain overnight then the wind will back SW. After a brighter spell there will be rain Wednesday afternoon and evening. Maximum temperature 15C.

Thursday 30th
A brighter day with W-SW 13-18 increasing 18-23 in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 18C.

Friday 1st.
WNW-WSW 13-18 backing W-SW during the afternoon with some sunny spells and a maximum temperature of 17C

Saturday 2nd
W-SW 10-15 during the morning in the Solent, increasing SW 18-23 in the Channel. Some long sunny spells with an increasing chance of showers during the afternoon. Maximum temperature should be 17C in Cowes but feeling cooler out on the water. Visibility moderate or good, except in showers.

Sunday 3rd
The wind is expected to ease overnight becoming SSW-WSW 10-15 during the afternoon.

Chris Tibbs – Sailing-Weather Ltd issued Monday 27th June

Weather Outlook for the JP Morgan Asset Management Round The Island Race 2nd July 2016

The low pressure centred close to Iceland is expected to stay with us over the next few days, giving a mainly W-SW air flow. During today the secondary low is developing south of Ireland and is tracking eastwards across England late this afternoon and tonight.

This is giving a period of changeable weather with a mainly westerly airflow and series of fronts. Rain is expected this afternoon and tomorrow but it will be brighter towards the end of the week and on Saturday.

During Saturday the wind is expected to be a moderate W-SW’ly tending to back and strengthen through the day to be SW 18-23 knots along the south coast of the IOW. There will be sunny spells with a low chance of showers. The maximum temperature will be around 16C and visibility will be moderate or good.

Estimated wind strength (knots) and direction; gusts are likely to be 1/3rd as much again as the average wind strength and stronger with showers.

Tuesday 28th
The wind will back to the SSW ahead of the developing low and increase. During the day the wind will increase to be S-SW 15-20 in the Solent with some rain likely this afternoon and overnight. The maximum temperature will be 16C. The wind will veer to the W this evening.

Wednesday 29th
The wind will ease overnight however there will be rain. Tomorrow morning the wind will back SW and increase to 20-25 knots for a while. There will be more rain Wednesday afternoon and evening. Maximum temperature 15C.

Thursday 30th
A brighter day with W-SW 13-18 increasing 15-20 in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 18C.

Friday 1st
W-SW 13-18 increasing 18-23 for a while before easing a little overnight. There will be some sunny spells and a maximum temperature of 17C

Saturday 2nd
W-SW 10-15 during the morning in the Solent, increasing and backing SW 18-23 in the Channel. Some long sunny spells with an increasing chance of showers during the afternoon. Maximum temperature should be 17C in Cowes but feeling cooler out on the water. Visibility moderate or good, except in showers.

Sunday 3rd
The wind is expected to ease overnight then increase Sunday morning to be SW 20-25 knots.

Chris Tibbs – Sailing-Weather Ltd issued Tuesday 28th June

Weather Outlook for the JP Morgan Asset Management Round The Island Race 2nd July 2016

The unsettled weather is continuing through the rest of the week with slowly moving low pressure between Scotland and Iceland sending a series of fronts across the UK. This will give some persistent rain today then becoming more showery for the rest of the week.

The rain today is from another developing secondary low in the flow of the main one moving across the northern part of the UK with associated fronts across England. As it clears away this afternoon and evening we will get a mainly dry night but some more showers tomorrow (Thursday) afternoon. Another cold front is expected to pass through Friday morning with some heavy showers.

After Friday’s cold front we will be in a westerly airflow which will bring some squally showers on Saturday but it will also give some sunny spells. The temperature ashore will reach 16-18°C but it will feel cooler on the water. Visibility will be mainly good but reducing in the showers.

Estimated wind strength (knots) and direction; gusts are likely to be 1/3rd as much again as the average wind strength and stronger with showers.

Wednesday 29th
There will be some heavy rain this morning becoming brighter late this afternoon. The wind will increase this morning to be SSW-WSW 23-28 knots in the Channel and a little less in the Solent. Late this evening and early Thursday morning the wind will veer and ease. Maximum temperature 15°C.

Thursday 30th
A brighter day with some showers particularly in the afternoon. W-SW 10-15 increasing 13-18 then 15-20 mid afternoon. Maximum temperature 18°C.

Friday 1st.
W-SW 13-18 increasing 18-23 for a while in the afternoon before easing and veering overnight. There will be some sunny spells but there will also be isolated showers. Visibility will be moderate or good except in the showers and a maximum temperature of 18°C is expected.

Saturday 2nd
After an ease in the wind overnight it will be W-SW 8-13 knots at first light, increasing to 10-15. In the western Solent it will quickly increase further to SW 15-20 as it funnels past Yarmouth. It is then expected to be SW 18-23 late morning and probably 20-25 around St Catherine’s. We will see the strongest wind mid-afternoon although there will be some shelter in the eastern Solent. There will be some sunny spells with an increasing chance of showers late morning and afternoon. Maximum temperature should be 17°C in Cowes but feeling cooler out on the water. Visibility will be moderate or good, reducing in showers.

Sunday 3rd
The wind is expected to ease overnight then increase Sunday morning to be S-SW 15-20 knots.

Chris Tibbs – Sailing-Weather Ltd issued Wednesday 29th June

Weather Outlook for the JP Morgan Asset Management Round The Island Race 2nd July 2016

With low pressure almost stationary between Iceland and Scotland the unsettled weather is set to continue over the next few days. An unstable west to southwesterly airstream is affecting England and although there will still be fronts crossing the country it will be generally dryer than the last couple of days.

We will get some sunny spells this afternoon and then some rain overnight which should clear away by about 0900 tomorrow. Friday will then be a bright day after the cold front and although there will be showers around they will be mainly to the north over the mainland.

On Saturday there is the tail end of an occluded front passing close to the north of us; it is a little uncertain if this will bring much rain. If there is rain it will most likely be mid to late morning and as it passes through there will be a slight veer in the wind. After this front the wind will be gustier.

The temperature ashore will reach 16-18°C but it will feel cooler out on the water. Visibility will be mainly good but reducing in the showers.

Estimated wind strength (knots) and direction; gusts are likely to be 1/3rd as much again as the average wind strength and stronger with showers.

Thursday 30th
A bright afternoon with some sunny periods. There will be an increase in cloud and the chance of some rain this evening ahead of a front expected early Friday. The wind will be light and variable at first this morning becoming SSW-WSW 10-15 increasing 13-18 then 15-20 late afternoon in the western Solent. Maximum temperature 18°C.

Friday 1st.
SW 13-18 increasing 18-23. There will be some funnelling through the western Solent increasing the wind to 23-28 knots west of Cowes for a while. The wind will then ease overnight. After a damp start there will be some sunny spells but there will also be isolated showers. Visibility will be moderate or good except in the showers and a maximum temperature of 18°C is expected.

Saturday 2nd
After an ease in the wind overnight it will be W-SW 8-13 knots at first light, increasing to 10-15 by start time. In the western Solent it will quickly increase further to SW 15-20 as it funnels past Yarmouth. It is then expected to be SW 18-23 by late morning and probably 20-25 around St Catherine’s. We will see the strongest wind mid-afternoon although there will be some shelter in the eastern Solent. There will be some sunny spells with an increasing chance of showers mid to late morning. Maximum temperature should be 17°C in Cowes but feeling cooler out on the water. Visibility will be good, reducing in showers.

Sunday 3rd
The wind is expected to ease overnight then increase Sunday morning to be S-SW 15-20 knots. It will be gusty in the Solent as there will be shelter from the more southerly wind; it is expected to be S-SW 18-23 in the Channel tending to veer in the afternoon.

Chris Tibbs – Sailing-Weather Ltd issued Thursday 30th June